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Odds Of Trump Winning 2024 Election Reddit. With no time left before the election, our model reacts sharply to the latest data. Covers provides live updates on 2024 u.s. So that’s 1 state that he is 60/40 likely win (wisconsin), 1 where he’s a 60/40 on the losing end (arizona), and 4 where i consider his. On kalshi, the largest regulated u.s.